WAR CLOUDS GATHER: Israel Sees Renewed Conflict With Iran as More Likely Than Deal, IDF Ready for Major Offensive
Israeli defense officials believe another military confrontation with Iran is now more likely than a diplomatic agreement, with the IDF having completed extensive preparations for renewed fighting as negotiations between Washington and Tehran remain deadlocked.
According to a report by Ynet on Motzoei Shabbos, Israel’s military is maintaining an exceptionally high level of readiness for both offensive operations and defensive measures, although the decision to launch another campaign is expected to depend primarily on President Donald Trump.
A senior Israeli official described the deteriorating diplomatic outlook, saying, “It seems we are heading more toward war than toward an agreement.”
Israeli officials are closely watching Tuesday’s U.S. midterm elections, which they believe could influence Trump’s calculations regarding military action. One assessment circulating in Yerushalayim suggests that a political setback for the president could increase the likelihood of a military operation intended to demonstrate American strength.
Israeli political and defense leaders have also examined the possibility of attacking Iranian infrastructure, including energy facilities, as part of a broader effort to weaken the regime and potentially accelerate its collapse.
Military planners are reportedly preparing for the possibility that another confrontation would last considerably longer than previous rounds of fighting, rather than ending after several days of airstrikes.
Despite the preparations, diplomatic efforts remain underway. Qatar has been attempting to negotiate an arrangement under which Iran would agree to restrictions on its nuclear program and reopen the Strait of Hormuz, while the United States would ease sanctions, lift restrictions on Iranian ports and release Iranian assets frozen in Western countries.
A Qatari delegation has already held discussions in Tehran, and mediators remain in contact with American officials in an effort to narrow the differences between the two sides.
However, Israeli officials familiar with the negotiations say there has been little meaningful progress, with Tehran showing no indication that it is prepared to make the concessions necessary for an agreement.
One Israeli source said neither Washington nor Tehran is eager for another war, while Gulf countries are particularly anxious to avoid a renewed regional confrontation.
“But there is no choice,” the official said. “Because the negotiations are stuck, especially now. Someone will have to compromise, and the Iranians are not moving toward a compromise.”
Israeli security officials are also considering the possibility that Iran could attempt to strike first, launching an attack before the United States and Israel have an opportunity to carry out their own military operation.
“If all the conditions align, there will be an attack, if only to accelerate the fall of the regime or the negotiations,” the Israeli official assessed.
Meanwhile, Iranian Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei issued another warning Saturday, declaring that Tehran would determine when and under what circumstances any renewed fighting with Israel and the United States would end.
In a statement released following a reported meeting with senior Iranian military commanders, Khamenei said he had ordered an expansion of Iran’s list of potential targets to “ensure that all tangible and intangible assets of the American-Zionist enemy are within the reach of Iranian forces.”
The Iranian leader also instructed commanders to prepare for an intensive confrontation and to ensure that retaliation for any American or Israeli attack would not be restricted by geographical boundaries.
According to Iranian reports, the meeting included Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps commander Ahmad Vahidi, armed forces chief Ali Abdollahi and Iranian army commander Amir Hatami.
The developments come as the Trump administration continues weighing military options while mediators attempt to prevent another round of hostilities. No final American decision to launch an attack has been publicly announced.
