Kamala Harris Bombs In Humiliating New Poll — But It’s Also Bad News For Gavin Newsom
A new statewide survey indicates that California voters are showing little enthusiasm for Kamala Harris as a potential 2028 presidential candidate, while Gov. Gavin Newsom holds an early lead but still faces challenges.
The poll, released Friday by the UC Berkeley Institute of Governmental Studies, found Harris lagging behind several Democratic figures, including Newsom, Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez of New York, and former Transportation Secretary Pete Buttigieg. Just 9% of respondents in California named Harris as their top choice for the party’s nomination.
Newsom placed first in the survey, with 28% of voters selecting him as their preferred candidate. Still, analysts say that level of support raises concerns. Mark DiCamillo, who directs the Berkeley IGS Poll, noted to the Los Angeles Times that backing from only about a quarter of voters in his home state is far from overwhelming.
The survey also revealed that fewer than half of Californians currently approve of Newsom’s performance as governor, with his approval rating standing at 48%.
That figure represents a decline from 51% in August, DiCamillo said, while the governor’s disapproval rating has risen by five percentage points over the same period.
Researchers gathered the data from 5,019 registered voters across California, conducting the survey online in both English and Spanish between March 9 and March 14.
The poll’s margin of error is approximately plus or minus 2.5 percentage points for the full sample.
Although Newsom and Harris have never faced each other in a statewide contest, both could end up competing in the Democratic presidential primary in 2028.
When factoring in second-choice preferences, Newsom’s advantage grows even larger. He garners support from 42% of voters when combining first- and second-choice responses, compared to just 20% for Harris.
Neither politician has formally declared plans for a presidential run. Newsom is expected to leave office after the 2026 gubernatorial election, while Harris is currently traveling to promote her book, “107 Days.”
The findings add to growing indications that many Democratic voters are moving on from Harris following her loss to Donald Trump in the 2024 election, which she has attributed in part to having insufficient time to campaign.
This comes despite Harris’ long-standing presence in California politics, where she previously served as attorney general for two terms and later as a U.S. senator for four years.
The poll also found that Newsom outperformed Harris among African American voters, leading her by 12 points, 49% to 37%. His strongest backing came from older voters, Latino voters, and men.
G. Cristina Mora, co-director of the IGS poll, said Newsom’s sharper tone toward Trump may be resonating with Democratic voters.
“The results seem to suggest that Newsom’s more aggressive stance vis-à-vis President Trump, particularly through social media, appears to be resonating with Democratic voters in his home state,” she said.
“Though Californians may hold mixed views on his gubernatorial tenure overall, they do see him as the strongest counter to Trump and MAGA candidates.”
Mora added that Harris’ lower numbers may be influenced by both her previous electoral defeat and broader voter attitudes.
“Harris’ earlier presidential defeat, compounded by what appear to be persistent voter biases against women and candidates of color, may also be shaping these early numbers,” Mora concluded.
