President Donald Trump’s job approval has fallen to 29% in a new national American Research Group poll, while 68% of Americans disapprove of his performance, according to the survey released Monday. The same poll found an even lower rating for Trump’s handling of the economy, with 26% approving and 71% disapproving.
The survey, conducted September 16-20 among 1,100 adults nationwide, carries a theoretical margin of error of plus or minus 3 percentage points. Because of that margin, the one-point decline in approval from August — when Trump stood at 30% approval and 66% disapproval — should not by itself be treated as a statistically significant change.
Still, the September result continues a longer decline in ARG’s polling series. Trump stood at 37% approval in September 2025, falling to 35% by the beginning of 2026, 34% in March, 32% in April and 30% throughout June, July and August before reaching 29% this month.
The 29% figure is also considerably lower than Trump’s standing in some other current national surveys, underscoring the importance of viewing an individual poll in the context of broader polling. For example, other recent national polling has placed Trump’s approval in the 30s and low 40s.
Among registered voters in the ARG survey, Trump’s overall approval was 30%, while 68% disapproved. The poll found substantial partisan differences: 65% of Republicans approved of Trump’s job performance and 34% disapproved; among Democrats, 1% approved and 98% disapproved. Independents registered 26% approval and 70% disapproval.
Economic sentiment was particularly negative in the survey. Just 26% of all adults approved of Trump’s handling of the economy, compared with 71% who disapproved. Among registered voters, the figures were 27% approval and 71% disapproval.
Trump’s economic approval in ARG’s polling has declined from 34% in September 2025 to 26% today. Among Republicans in the latest survey, 63% approved of his economic performance and 36% disapproved. Just 1% of Democrats approved, while independents gave Trump a 19% approval rating on the economy and 75% disapproval.
The survey found widespread pessimism about the direction of the economy. Only 5% of respondents said they believe the national economy is getting better, while 17% said it is remaining about the same and 72% said it is getting worse.
That pessimism extended even to respondents who otherwise approve of Trump. Among those giving the President positive marks for his overall job performance, 12% said the economy is improving, 32% said it is staying the same and 49% said it is getting worse. Among Trump disapprovers, 81% said economic conditions are deteriorating.
Expectations for the coming year were similarly downbeat. Six percent of Americans said they expect the national economy to be better a year from now, 17% predicted little change and 70% expected conditions to be worse.
Notably, among the 29% who approve of Trump’s overall job performance, 9% said they expect the economy to improve during the coming year, while 26% expect it to remain unchanged and 56% believe it will worsen.
That represents a major change within ARG’s group of Trump approvers compared with February 2025. At that time, 46% of respondents who approved of Trump expected the economy to improve during the following year, compared with 30% who expected it to worsen.
The survey also found that 67% of Americans believe the country is currently in a recession, while 19% said it is not and 14% were undecided. That question measures public perception rather than an official economic determination; recessions in the United States are conventionally dated by the National Bureau of Economic Research rather than by public polling.
Asked to rate current economic conditions, 8% described the national economy as excellent, very good or good. Another 86% placed it in one of the negative categories — bad, very bad or terrible — including 65% who selected “terrible.”
Respondents were also overwhelmingly negative about their own finances. Eighteen percent rated their household financial situation as excellent, very good or good, compared with 75% who rated it bad, very bad or terrible.
Just 3% said their household finances are currently improving, 20% said they are staying the same and 71% said they are getting worse.
The outlook for personal finances was virtually identical: 3% expected their household financial situation to be better a year from now, 20% expected it to be approximately the same and 71% predicted it would be worse.
Even among respondents who approve of Trump’s overall job performance, 56% said they expect their household financial situation to deteriorate during the next year. Five percent expected improvement and 34% anticipated little change.
The latest ARG numbers also show a significant difference from the same point during Trump’s first term. In September 2018, the pollster measured his overall job approval at 37%, with 59% disapproving. His economic approval at that time stood at 39%, compared with 55% disapproval.
The new poll arrives weeks before the November midterm elections, although presidential approval polling does not directly measure voter preferences in individual House and Senate races. The ARG results also represent one pollster’s measurement at one point in time, and other contemporary surveys have produced materially different estimates of Trump’s national approval.
American Research Group said its September survey consisted of 1,100 completed interviews with a random sample of adults 18 and older living in households in the continental United States. The sample included 312 Republicans, 328 Democrats, 361 independents and 99 non-voters, with interviews conducted from September 16 through September 20.
{Matzav.com}