Ex-Pakistani Official: Iran Doesn’t Have ‘Military Means’ To Keep Up Fight Against US and Israel
President Donald Trump’s decision to impose a naval blockade on Iranian ports is striking at a critical vulnerability for Tehran and could push the regime to reengage in negotiations with Washington, according to a former senior Pakistani official following unsuccessful talks over the weekend.
Retired Lt. Gen. Muhammad Saeed said he believes Iran will ultimately be forced to respond to what has been presented as a firm U.S. proposal. “This may prove totally wrong, but it’s my assumption that whatever option has been given to them as ‘Take it or leave it,’ they will come back on it — either saying ‘We accept it,’ or they will say, ‘We totally reject it,’” he said. “Or they will say, ‘These are adjustments we seek in your option.’”
Saeed added that Tehran has strong incentives to return to the negotiating table due to the mounting pressure on its population. “they know what economic hardships their people are facing.”
Iran’s economic troubles predate the current war, which began on Feb. 28. Years of international sanctions have battered the country’s finances, contributing to a sharp devaluation of its currency and sparking widespread protests that turned deadly in late December and early January.
“Irrespective of their perception of victory,” Saeed said, “they know what economic hardships their people are facing. They know the level of inflation. They know how terribly their own currency is.”
He also pointed to the regime’s military limitations as a key factor influencing its next move. “While they would keep firing drones and missiles for a few more days, they don’t have compatible military means” to counter the United States and Israel, “and they don’t have cost-effective military options to fall back on.”
The diplomatic standoff intensified after Vice President JD Vance presented Iran on Sunday with what he described as a “best and final offer,” leaving the next step in Tehran’s hands.
So far, Iranian officials have not publicly issued a clear response to the proposal, the details of which have not been formally disclosed. However, President Trump indicated Monday that there are signs of renewed interest in talks. “We’ve been called this morning by the right people, the appropriate people and they want to work to do, they would like to work,” he said at the White House, adding that Iran wants a deal “very badly.”
Former State Department official Mark Kimmitt suggested the blockade could encourage negotiations, though he cautioned that Tehran is unlikely to accept Washington’s terms outright. “The blockade of the Strait [of Hormuz] should bring the Iranians back to the negotiation table, but not immediately,” he said.
“While the Iranians might express a willingness to discuss uranium enrichment, it is highly unlikely the current Iranian leadership would ever seriously consider terminating the program.”
Retired Rear Adm. Mark Montgomery emphasized that the blockade’s success will depend on how aggressively it is enforced. “This blockade only works if the US Navy is persistent and stops and detains enough Iranian ships to deter the regime’s ability to export fossil fuels,” he said. “If the Navy is successful at that, they have a chance to force Tehran back to the table for meaningful concessions.”
{Matzav.com}
