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The United States may be on the brink of its first-ever population decline, potentially as soon as this year, far earlier than long-range forecasts once suggested. New estimates from federal agencies and independent economists indicate that President Donald Trump’s aggressive immigration enforcement has sharply reduced net migration, pushing the country toward a demographic milestone never before recorded, Bloomberg reported Monday.

For generations, population gains in the U.S. were sustained largely by immigration, which compensated for declining birth rates and a rising number of deaths as the population aged.

That long-standing pattern appears to be breaking faster than expected. Analysts from across the ideological spectrum now say that immigration policies enacted during Trump’s second term are hastening a demographic shift that had previously been projected to occur much later.

As recently as 2023, the U.S. Census Bureau’s long-term outlook estimated that the nation’s population would not begin to contract until 2081.

More recent figures, however, suggest that schedule may have dramatically changed.

According to Census Bureau data released this week, the U.S. population increased by only 0.5%, or about 1.8 million people, in the year ending July 1, 2025. That marked the slowest annual growth rate since the height of the COVID-19 pandemic.

Officials attributed most of that slowdown to a steep decline in net migration, which dropped to 1.3 million from 2.7 million the previous year.

During the same period, births exceeded deaths by 519,000, a margin that continues to shrink each year.

The Congressional Budget Office has warned that by around 2030, deaths are expected to surpass births entirely, meaning immigration would become the only factor preventing population loss.

Census officials now anticipate that net migration will decline even further, to roughly 316,000 in the year ending July 2026, with the United States, in their words, “trending toward negative net migration.”

Independent analysts suggest the shift may already be underway. Economists from the American Enterprise Institute and the Brookings Institution estimate that net migration may have turned negative in 2025, with the immigrant population shrinking by between 10,000 and 295,000 people.

Their projections for this year are even more stark, forecasting outcomes ranging from a modest increase of 185,000 immigrants to a decline of as many as 925,000 — estimates calculated before additional legal immigration restrictions were announced this year.

Should immigration losses outweigh the already diminishing excess of births over deaths, the total U.S. population would begin to fall. Under the most pessimistic scenario outlined by the researchers, the population would shrink by more than 400,000 people this year.

“We could be at around zero or negative on population,” said Tara Watson, director of the Brookings Center for Economic Security and Opportunity and a co-author of the analysis.

Demographers note that since the first national census was conducted in 1790, the United States has never officially recorded a nationwide population decline.

Some historians point to 1918 as a possible exception, when the Spanish flu outbreak combined with the overseas deployment of millions of U.S. troops may have temporarily reduced the number of people living in the country.

Economists caution that the consequences of reduced immigration and potential population decline would likely unfold gradually, affecting labor force growth, economic output, and government finances over time rather than triggering immediate shocks.

The Trump administration maintains that stricter immigration policies will strengthen opportunities for native-born workers and relieve strain on housing markets and public services.

White House officials have also cited expanded workforce training initiatives and broader access to temporary worker visas as measures intended to address potential labor shortages.

{Matzav.com}

Senior U.S. and Iranian officials are preparing for what could be the first direct meeting between the two governments since nuclear negotiations collapsed and a brief war erupted last summer, according to Axios. White House envoy Steve Witkoff and Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi are expected to meet Friday in Istanbul, two sources said. A […]

Hamas says its internal security forces carried out coordinated ambushes over the past day against Israeli-backed armed groups operating in Gaza, underscoring the increasingly fragmented and violent power struggle inside the enclave. Hamas’ so-called Deterrent Force said its operatives targeted gang members in both Khan Younis and Gaza City, killing several and seizing weapons it […]

An Israeli woman has been detained in Turkey for more than 10 days on suspicion of insulting the Turkish flag, President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and “Palestine.” The woman was taken into custody in Taksim Square, a central hub in Istanbul, after being handcuffed by police, according to photos circulating on social media. Israeli outlet Ynet […]

A special session marking 77 years since the establishment of the Knesset was held in the plenum, but it unfolded against a backdrop of controversy, absences, and political tension. The President of the State did not attend after the President of the Supreme Court was not invited, and most of the opposition boycotted the debate, although MK Yair Lapid did take the podium to speak.

Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu addressed the decision not to invite Supreme Court Justice Yitzhak Amit, expressing hope for reconciliation in the coming year. “I hope that next year we will overcome all the obstacles and reach full understandings. We want to arrive at the same understandings that guided the State of Israel for decades,” Netanyahu said.

Expanding on the issue, Netanyahu said, “We need to restore the balance between the three branches of government. In the past, it was customary that the judiciary was selected through the Knesset. Let us moderate the tone of the debate. I will act to reach understandings.”

Netanyahu went on to reflect more broadly on Israel’s system of governance. “Israel is not a perfect democracy. There is no such thing. We are a challenged democracy. I do not know of any other democracy that faces tests like those faced by the State of Israel. Let us tone down the language of the dispute-this is at least how I try to conduct myself. But such a Knesset is always preferable to one in which elected officials are not allowed to open their mouths. Silencing elected representatives would be the end of democracy. We have disagreements on fundamental issues-these disagreements are not a flaw in democracy. They are the essence of democracy, and the public decides at the ballot box.”

Turning to regional security, Netanyahu also addressed threats from Tehran, warning the Iranian regime against attacking Israel. “Anyone who attacks us will suffer unbearable consequences for them,” he said, referring to repeated threats to strike Israel if it is attacked by the United States.

Knesset Speaker Amir Ohana opened the anniversary debate and addressed the absences in the plenum. “The current controversy, because of which many members of Knesset are absent, concerns the custom whereby presidents of the Supreme Court were invited in previous years to mark the Knesset’s anniversaries. Unfortunately, there are other customs that have also been violated,” he said.

Ohana elaborated on what he described as additional breaches of long-standing norms. “For example, the custom, enshrined in law, whereby presidents of the Supreme Court were chosen by the Judicial Selection Committee convened by order of its chairperson, and not by court orders issued by colleagues of the designated president. That custom and that law were violated as well. There was also a custom whereby it was unthinkable to annul a Basic Law-a custom that was likewise trampled, in the midst of the war, by a decision that is patently unreasonable,” he added.

Continuing his remarks, Ohana criticized what he sees as an overreaction to the controversy surrounding invitations. “I regret that once again there are those who view non-invitation to a ceremonial event as a substantive blow to Israel’s democratic system. I regret even more that those same people accept with equanimity the transformation of the judiciary into a super-authority that can judge, legislate, and annul laws and Basic Laws, like an all-powerful king. One exception regarding invitations will be on national memorial days. As was the case last year, we will not drag the dispute into those sacred days.”

In closing, the Knesset Speaker emphasized his openness to dialogue while insisting on mutual respect between branches of government. “I repeat: the Knesset under my leadership is open to dialogue with the judicial system. Whenever the heads of the system ask to meet, talk, clarify, and try to bridge gaps, I commit that their outstretched hand will not be returned empty. Those who show respect will be respected. But respect between branches is not one-sided. One cannot demand that the legislative branch respect the judiciary while the judiciary continues to empty the legislature’s powers of their content. This is a fundamental matter for the existence of the State of Israel as Jewish and democratic. The Knesset cannot ignore the trampling of the public and must stand up for its rights,” the Speaker concluded.

{Matzav.com}

Authorities in Nepal have arrested six travel and mountain rescue executives accused of conducting fake rescues on the Himalayan nation’s high mountains to scam millions of dollars from international insurance companies, officials said Monday. Nepal’s Central Investigation Bureau arrested six people from three different travel and mountain rescue operators last week, accusing them of submitting […]

Opposition leader MK Yair Lapid rejected allegations that he conducted a private meeting with senior Qatari officials, insisting that the discussion took place together with families of Israeli hostages.

That version was challenged by a Kan News report, which said Lapid initially took part in a restricted meeting with senior Qatari representatives that included only members of his own staff and did not include the hostages’ families. The report added that a separate meeting was later held with representatives of three hostage families.

According to the report, both meetings were held on January 12, 2025, at the Four Seasons Hotel in Paris. The report further stated that during the discussions Lapid spoke positively about Qatar’s role in the negotiations and that topics involving potential future relations between Israel and Qatar were also raised.

Lapid’s office confirmed that an initial meeting took place without the families present. “Lapid and his team sat with the Qatari representative for a discussion on the issue of the hostages, and afterward the families of the hostages joined the meeting,” his office said.

Lapid went on to accuse the Prime Minister’s Office of double standards, alleging that it had quietly accepted millions of dollars from Qatar and enabled the transfer of tens of millions of dollars in cash to Hamas’s military wing. He also said that Prime Minister Bibi Netanyahu apologized to Qatari officials at the White House after Operation Summit Of Fire and pledged that such an attack would not occur again.

Lapid maintained that the publication of the report was intended to divert attention from legislation he initiated that would classify Qatar as an enemy state. “We recommend that the Prime Minister’s Office support the law instead of continuing to sell the security of the State of Israel for monetary gain,” he said.

{Matzav.com}

Amid a series of painful tragedies that have recently struck the chareidi community, the mashgiach of Ponevezh Yeshiva, Rav Ezra Rothschild, delivered a forceful and emotional address in which he sharply condemned street posters and public demonstrations held against the rulings of the Gedolei HaDor. He warned that public ביזוי of Torah leadership is a grave matter, declaring that “the Torah demands redress,” and blaming such conduct for the calamities befalling the community.

Speaking with visible anguish, Rav Rothschild described the recent period as one of extraordinary pain. “In the past two weeks, terrible things have happened to Klal Yisroel—horrific tragedies, involving young people, both in the way they occurred and in their timing. Even today, the father of a yeshiva student passed away,” he said. “Without question, Hakadosh Baruch Hu is speaking to us. He has taken pure souls who merited to be a communal offering. We may not know exactly what Hashem wants from us, but the first thing a person must recognize is that Hashem is speaking to us. These are frightening events, not according to the natural order, and yet they share a similar pattern.”

Rav Rothschild then turned his focus to what he described as a deep and dangerous confusion within the public regarding kavod haTorah and the honor due to the Gedolei Yisroel. Quoting what he said he had heard in the name of a leading Torah authority, he stated that the recent tragedies were linked to the public disparagement of Torah leadership. “There has been, recently, a ביזוי of Gedolei Yisroel,” he said. “There were demonstrations—official demonstrations—by thousands of Jews against Gedolei Yisroel. This was not about the draft decree itself, but explicitly against the deferment law from military service. That is what was written.”

He expressed astonishment that public protests were staged against a matter already decided by the Gedolim. “What does it mean, a law of deferment from the draft? Gedolei Yisroel deliberated, ruled, and decided—and people demonstrate against that? Such a thing never existed. Tens of thousands of people participated. Most of them are innocent, simple people who were drawn in and are not to blame. But something terrible happened here. These demonstrations are against Daas Torah, completely against the way of the Torah.”

In particularly sharp terms, Rav Rothschild criticized attempts to undermine the authority of Rav Dov Landau, warning against the growing influence of “the street” and political activists. “This situation, where demonstrations are held against Gedolei Yisroel whom all of Klal Yisroel follows—Maran Rosh HaYeshiva Rav Dov Landau is greater than the entire generation, without question wiser, more G-d-fearing, and older,” he said. “Even if you think it doesn’t suit you or you don’t understand, you are obligated to listen.”

The mashgiach also issued a stark warning regarding street posters attacking gedolei Yisroel. “People become confused by the posters in the streets. Perhaps one should not read them at all. Perhaps they fall under the prohibition of bringing an abomination into one’s home—this is heresy. There are posters that publicly disgrace Gedolei Yisroel. These are the work of bad people,” he said emphatically. “Know this: all the street posters are from bad people. One must learn not to read them. Do not read them.”

Rav Rothschild concluded by reiterating the obligation of absolute obedience to Torah leadership and recalling the approach of Rav Aharon Leib Steinman. He related that when people once questioned Rav Steinman regarding the draft deferment law, Rav Steinman replied, “Everything you are saying, I also know. But there are things I know that you do not know.”

Summing up his message, Rav Rothschild said: “The Torah demands redress. Many have felt this deeply. Gedolei Yisroel see matters that others cannot see.”

{Matzav.com}

The B’Tzalmo organization submitted a formal request on Sunday to Attorney General Gali Baharav-Miara demanding the opening of a criminal investigation against a candidate in Yair Golan’s Democrats party on suspicion of incitement to racism and calling for her disqualification. The request follows footage from a private political gathering posted on social media, showing the […]

A new round of U.S.-brokered talks on ending Russia’s war on Ukraine is set to go ahead this week after a brief postponement, a senior Kremlin official said Monday, with negotiations taking place against a backdrop of continued front-line fighting and deadly long-range attacks on rear areas. The trilateral talks will take place on Wednesday […]

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After leaving Israel’s port city of Eilat, the American missile destroyer USS Delbert D. Black carried out a “routine maritime exercise” with the Israeli Navy’s Sa’ar 5-class corvette INS Eilat in the Red Sea, the U.S. Navy reported.

New York Governor Kathy Hochul says she will not allow local police to cooperate with ICE officers: “You’re not using our local police… I’m not going to be supporting that and we’re going to change the law.”

QUEENS: NYC Garbage truck on fire on Kew Gardens Road and 82 Avenue. No injuries reported. VIDEO VIA ONE OSCAR SIX

Rav Aharon Yitzchak Berenzweig, maggid shiur at Yeshivas Mir, visited the home of Hagaon Rav Moshe Hillel Hirsch, to seek clear guidance on a number of pressing questions raised by bochurim in recent times.

At the center of the meeting was a phenomenon that has become increasingly widespread in recent years: excessive drinking at weddings. Below is the full dialogue from the conversation from the Rosh Yeshiva’s home on Rechov Harav Sher in Bnei Brak.

Rav Berenzweig: There are several questions that bochurim have asked me, and I need clear guidance. First of all, there is a phenomenon now at weddings where bochurim have recently been drinking hard liquor…

Rav Hirsch: This has already been going on for several years. Several years already, yes.

Rav Berenzweig: Sometimes it even leads to damage. Many times they reach actual drunkenness.

Rav Hirsch: Yes, yes, it’s been going on for years already. This is not something new. It’s at least eight years already.

Rav Berenzweig: Still, the bochur says: first of all, I want to learn how I can overcome the pressure from the group.

Rav Hirsch: Who is the group that’s pulling him? It’s his friend, not some outside crowd.

Rav Berenzweig: It’s not an outside crowd. Whoever goes to a wedding, it’s usually his friends, bochurim.

Rav Hirsch: So they’re pulling him along. So what is the question?

Rav Berenzweig: How can he overcome it? How can he stand up to the group?

Rav Berenzweig: In general, this whole phenomenon pains me very much. I wanted several times to speak about it, because it’s something that doesn’t fit, especially for Shevet Levi.

Rav Hirsch: I think that a bochur, before going to a wedding, should open Mesillas Yesharim and learn Mesillas Yesharim for five minutes—what his purpose in life is, why he is here in the world, to cling to Hashem. In everything, to think about this. Then go to the wedding. Then he can’t drink; he can’t get drunk.

Rav Berenzweig: Meaning, beyond the regular seder of mussar, he should learn before he goes to a wedding?

Rav Hirsch: Yes. To remind himself who he is—who he is—that he is a Jew, that his purpose is to cling to Hashem. He is not just a random person. He is a Jew. He should remind himself of this.

Rav Warschauer: A bochur says that it’s simchas chassan v’kallah.

Rav Hirsch: There is no simchas chassan v’kallah in this. If simchas chassan v’kallah meant doing avodah zarah, that also wouldn’t be acceptable.

Rav Berenzweig: How can we prevent this so that the phenomenon really stops?

Rav Hirsch: Through speaking—only through speaking. To say it, to show how cheap this is, how inappropriate this whole thing is. It’s not fitting for a ben Torah. It’s not fitting for a civilized person. A civilized person doesn’t do this. Normal baalei batim don’t do this. Are they worse than this? A person should always be a person—at the very least a simple person with basic yiras Shamayim. All the more so a ben Torah, and all the more so again. You have to show them how this is wrong from every angle. Even a person with no yiras Shamayim at all wouldn’t do this. A normal person doesn’t do this. Kal vachomer a baal habayis with yiras Shamayim, and kal vachomer a ben Torah. This is an outright contradiction.

Rav Berenzweig: That’s what the Gemara says, that “a neveilah is better than him,” someone who drinks and gets drunk.

Rav Hirsch: “Kedoshim tihyu”—the Ramban.

Rav Berenzweig: Even at a wedding?

Rav Hirsch: Certainly, certainly, certainly! There is absolutely no heter for drunkenness!

Rav Berenzweig: So the Rosh Yeshiva is saying that it’s not advisable for there to be too much alcohol at a wedding?

Rav Hirsch: You can drink a little, but that’s it. There is no such thing beyond that. It’s better that there be none at all!

Rav Berenzweig: Now, there are a few more bochurim who asked me. At home, they feel a Shabbos atmosphere. There are homes that create a Shabbos spirit. There are many yeshivos that don’t make an issue out of the Shabbos atmosphere—songs and the like. They finish the meal quickly and go learn. The bochur says: I want to feel more of a Shabbos atmosphere. Can I suggest going home or not? Even though you don’t feel it, these are the sedorim of the yeshiva.

Rav Hirsch: Certainly he cannot go home. The question is what to do—that is the question. But I don’t think the hanhalah would be against having zemiros during the meal, having a short dvar Torah during the meal. You can do small things: there should be zemiros, someone should say a small dvar Torah for five minutes, there could be some kind of rotation.

Rav Berenzweig: Or in his section he could sit with a few bochurim who sing. Even by us in Yeshivas Mir, the Rosh Yeshiva—he should be well, Rav Eliezer Yehuda—he transformed the entire Shabbos atmosphere. The food is upgraded more than ever, and they sing there. It’s something that never existed before. The bochurim tell me: we enjoy being in Mir for Shabbos. But not every yeshiva has this.

Rav Hirsch: Correct. At the very least, upgrading the food is certainly a good thing if it’s possible to convince the hanhalah. But even without that, zemiros can certainly be done, and also some dvar Torah.

Rav Berenzweig: Even just for himself.

Rav Hirsch: But there can also be groups—small groups.

Rav Berenzweig: Now, there are two bochurim who asked me: if something damaging happened in their room, that they saw a form of corruption by a friend. We once asked the Rosh Yeshiva…about whether to go to a staff member. The Rosh Yeshiva said that if there is a wise mashgiach who knows not to spread it, one can tell him. But now the bochur doesn’t know who to go to. He doesn’t want the other bochur thrown out and then feel guilty.

Rav Hirsch: I think he can go to one of the avreichim and ask who on the staff he can speak to. In Mir I could say who, but I won’t say it here.

Participant: Usually it’s not Mir.

Rav Hirsch: In every place there is some kind of sub-mashgiach or meishiv. One can clarify who that is.

Rav Berenzweig: Meaning, to keep it within the yeshiva, but not necessarily senior staff?

Participant: Ask one of the avreichim.

Rav Hirsch: And that avreich will decide what to do.

Rav Berenzweig: Maybe someone from the community?

Rav Hirsch: No. Not the community. He should go to one of the avreichim in the yeshiva.

Rav Berenzweig: Now, a bochur asked me: he wants to learn Tanach. In yeshivos they don’t learn it. Should he have a rebbi, or when should he learn?

Rav Hirsch: On Shabbos he can learn Tanach with Malbim. If he wants faster, Tanach with Metzudos. If not, Malbim.

Rav Berenzweig: Last question. A bochur says he lacks feeling. Every day tefillah, seder aleph, seder beis—it feels repetitive. He wants renewal, emotion in tefillah, freshness in learning.

Rav Hirsch: Most likely his tefillah is not as it should be. He should learn what tefillah is, why it is avodah. And especially, he should learn Pesukei Dezimrah with Malbim.

Rav Berenzweig: That can be suggested to bochurim who want renewal in tefillah.

Rav Hirsch: Then Pesukei Dezimrah becomes something else, not just words. And in learning, he should try to be mechadesh. When a bochur is immersed in a new question in the sugya, that itself gives him renewal.

{Matzav.com}

Standing on Israel’s northern frontier, Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu said the government has fundamentally changed its security posture toward the border with Lebanon, pledging an aggressive response to threats alongside a sweeping investment plan aimed at stabilizing and revitalizing the region. “There is no containment, no leniency,” Netanyahu said Sunday during a special weekly […]

Iran said Monday it had summoned all of the European Union ambassadors in the Islamic Republic to protest the bloc’s listing of the paramilitary Revolutionary Guard as a terror group. The move came as Turkey tried to organize a meeting between the U.S. special envoy Steve Witkoff and Iranian officials, seeking to jump-start talks to ease […]