SHAKING THE OLD ALLIANCE: Report Says Goldknopf Could Abstain on Eisenkot Government as Agudas Yisroel Signals Break From Netanyahu Bloc
A potentially significant shift is emerging within Agudas Yisroel ahead of Israel’s upcoming election, with senior figures reportedly saying that party chairman MK Yitzchok Goldknopf could abstain rather than vote against a minority government headed by Gadi Eisenkot — a move that could alter the parliamentary arithmetic needed to establish Israel’s next government.
The report was first publicized Monday evening by political commentator Amit Segal, who cited senior figures in Ger as saying that Goldknopf would not necessarily vote against an Eisenkot-led minority government. Instead, according to those sources, he could abstain from the confidence vote. The report remains an assessment attributed to party and Ger sources, rather than a formal commitment by Goldknopf or Agudas Yisroel.
Other reports indicated that Goldknopf may not be alone. MK Yaakov Tessler, another Ger representative in Agudas Yisroel, was also named as someone who could potentially abstain, while some political sources suggested that additional members of United Torah Judaism might ultimately take the same course. There is considerably more uncertainty, however, regarding the position of Degel HaTorah, and no such decision has been announced by the party.
The development comes after an extended rupture between Agudas Yisroel and Prime Minister Bibi Netanyahu over the failure to secure legislation protecting the status of bnei yeshivos. Goldknopf has repeatedly argued over the past year that the chareidi parties entered Netanyahu’s coalition with a commitment that the status of lomdei Torah would be legislatively resolved, and he has sharply criticized Netanyahu over what he regards as the failure to fulfill that commitment.
The dispute eventually led Goldknopf and Agudas Yisroel away from the Netanyahu government, and Goldknopf has increasingly rejected the assumption that the chareidi parties must automatically remain part of a permanent Netanyahu-led political bloc. Months ago, he publicly warned against assuming that the chareidi electorate would remain part of the Netanyahu bloc if the government failed to deliver on the issue of bnei yeshivos.
The significance of an abstention could be substantial. A government seeking the Knesset’s confidence does not necessarily need 61 affirmative votes if enough MKs abstain; what matters in an ordinary confidence vote is whether the government receives more votes in favor than against. As a result, every MK who abstains rather than votes against a proposed government can change the numbers needed for it to take office.
That possibility takes on added importance because Eisenkot has already been publicly discussing a scenario in which he could seek to establish a minority government if his political camp does not reach 61 seats. Earlier this month, Channel 12 reported that Eisenkot was preparing what has been described as the “Eisenkot Plan,” under which a minority government could seek Knesset confidence without bringing the Arab parties into the coalition.
Until now, much of the discussion surrounding such a government centered on the possibility of Arab parties abstaining. The latest development raises a different possibility: that members of Agudas Yisroel could themselves decline to vote against an Eisenkot government, potentially reducing the number of votes required for such a government to survive its initial confidence vote.
Goldknopf, however, responded to Monday’s report by laying down what he described as Agudas Yisroel’s fundamental condition for dealing with any future government, without confirming that he would abstain in favor of allowing an Eisenkot government to take office.
“Agudas Yisrael will not support the establishment of a government and will not provide outside support to any government without resolving the status of yeshiva students and passing a draft law without sanctions and without quotas,” Goldknopf said.
The wording immediately drew attention because Goldknopf did not explicitly say that Agudas Yisroel would vote against an Eisenkot government. At the same time, his declaration that the party would not “provide outside support” to a government that failed to satisfy its demands could also be understood as ruling out an abstention designed to enable such a government to take office. For now, therefore, the precise position remains unresolved.
Agudas Yisroel’s insistence on legislation without quotas or sanctions is not new. The party’s Moetzes Gedolei HaTorah has opposed legislation imposing sanctions on lomdei Torah, and Goldknopf has repeatedly placed preservation of the status of bnei yeshivos at the center of the party’s political demands.
The latest reports nevertheless underscore how deeply the draft-law dispute has altered the political relationship between Agudas Yisroel and Netanyahu. Goldknopf has previously said that Netanyahu bore primary responsibility for the failure to pass legislation acceptable to the chareidi parties and has argued that the alliance cannot simply be taken for granted.
For now, the reported abstention remains a possible post-election scenario rather than an announced Agudas Yisroel policy. Much will depend on the election results, the position ultimately taken by the Gedolei Yisroel, the negotiations over the status of bnei yeshivos, and whether any prospective coalition is prepared to meet Agudas Yisroel’s demand for legislation without quotas and sanctions.
{Matzav.com}
