Analyst: Undisclosed Provision in Agreement Safeguards Hamas
Arab affairs analyst Ohad Hemo is raising sharp questions about Hamas’ sudden willingness to comply with President Donald Trump’s Gaza framework, suggesting that the terror group must have received significant guarantees that have not been publicly revealed. In a Hebrew-language video, Hemo stressed that Hamas’ behavior is wildly inconsistent with its usual strategic playbook, especially its decision to release every living hostage and only hold back the bodies of two victims.
Hemo underscored how unusual the organization’s actions have been over the past week. “Hamas gave up the only card it had,” he said. “The question is, why did they do this? It goes against their DNA. There are various assessments, both in Israel and in the territories, that there is a secret clause — some guarantees or assurances that Hamas received from the mediators, maybe from the Americans, maybe from others.” He argued that the return of nearly all hostages simply does not align with Hamas’ long-standing doctrine unless there is an unseen incentive woven into the agreement.
According to Hemo, a widely discussed theory in Gaza connects Hamas’ cooperation to the demilitarization demands being pushed by Israel and the United States. He explained that Hamas views the threat of being stripped of its weaponry as an existential red line, prompting speculation that the group may have secured promises ensuring that its fighters will not be fully disarmed. “Yes, they will give up the tunnels, yes, they will give up the rockets,” he said, “but at least personal weapons, Kalashnikovs, they will continue to hold on to.”
Hemo added that some voices inside Gaza believe the organization may even be positioning itself to retain influence within future security structures. He noted reports circulating in the Strip that Hamas operatives could ultimately be folded into official Gaza security institutions as part of the broader understandings. “The American mediator, Bishara Bahbah, a Palestinian-American, said that they will also be integrated into the Palestinian security mechanisms. That is, it’s not that Hamas militants will be disarmed or expelled, but some of them, at least, will be integrated into the security mechanisms in the Gaza Strip.”
Hemo concluded that this theory — that Hamas is negotiating for its survival, its weapons, and its role in Gaza’s future — is the prevailing explanation among residents and observers in the region. “And that’s the explanation in Gaza for why Hamas is cooperating and returning our deceased hostages,” he said.
{Matzav.com}
