JIHAD IN MICHIGAN: Anti-Israel Progressive Abdul El-Sayed Leads Republican Mike Rogers After Bitter Campaign, Stunning Democratic Defection
Democrat Abdul El-Sayed, a progressive politician who has called for ending American military assistance to Israel, was leading Republican Mike Rogers early Wednesday in Michigan’s fiercely contested U.S. Senate election, threatening to deliver a major setback to Republicans in one of the nation’s most closely watched races.
The contest, which attracted extraordinary national attention and hundreds of millions of dollars in campaign spending, has been marked by bitter disputes over Israel, allegations of antisemitism, and a remarkable last-minute decision by a prominent Democratic congresswoman to endorse the Republican candidate.
Early Wednesday, El-Sayed was leading Rogers by approximately 49.8 percent to 48.3 percent, according to results reported by Deadline Detroit shortly after midnight. Election projections indicated that El-Sayed was favored to prevail.
The election is particularly significant for the Jewish community because of El-Sayed’s outspoken opposition to American military support for Israel and the deep divisions his candidacy has generated among Michigan Democrats.
El-Sayed will become the first Muslim to serve in the United States Senate, representing a state with substantial Jewish and Muslim populations and a long history of closely contested elections.
The seat is being vacated by Democratic Senator Gary Peters, who announced that he would retire after two terms in Washington. Republicans had viewed the opening as one of their best opportunities to capture a Democratic-held Senate seat, particularly after President Donald Trump carried Michigan in the 2024 presidential election.
Rogers, a former FBI agent and seven-term congressman who previously chaired the House Intelligence Committee, entered the race with extensive political experience and strong backing from Republican leaders.
He had narrowly lost Michigan’s 2024 Senate election to Democrat Elissa Slotkin by fewer than 20,000 votes, making his 2026 campaign a second attempt to win a seat in the chamber.
El-Sayed, meanwhile, emerged from a contentious Democratic primary in which he defeated Congresswoman Haley Stevens, a more moderate Democrat who had enjoyed considerable support from the party establishment.
The primary exposed deep ideological differences within Michigan’s Democratic coalition, particularly over Israel and American foreign policy.
El-Sayed has advocated ending American taxpayer support for Israel’s military, arguing that federal resources should instead be directed toward domestic priorities, including health care and economic assistance.
He has also characterized Israel’s military operations in Gaza as genocide, rhetoric that has generated considerable criticism from Jewish Democrats and supporters of Israel.
His position became one of the defining controversies of the election, with Rogers repeatedly warning voters about the consequences of sending El-Sayed to Washington.
The issue produced an extraordinary political development just two days before Election Day when Stevens, who had lost the Democratic primary to El-Sayed, announced that she was endorsing Rogers.
The decision represented a highly unusual break with party loyalty by a sitting Democratic member of Congress in one of the nation’s most consequential Senate races.
Stevens cited El-Sayed’s rhetoric concerning Israel and her own disagreements with him in explaining her decision.
Her endorsement immediately generated widespread attention, with Republicans presenting it as evidence that El-Sayed’s positions were too extreme even for members of his own party.
For Rogers, the endorsement offered an opportunity to appeal directly to moderate Democrats, independent voters, and members of Michigan’s Jewish community who were uncomfortable with El-Sayed’s views.
The Republican campaign hoped that Stevens’ support would persuade voters who ordinarily back Democratic candidates to cross party lines.
The move, however, also provoked a backlash among Democrats, many of whom accused Stevens of undermining her party’s chances of retaining the Senate seat.
El-Sayed’s campaign reported receiving a surge of donations following the endorsement, including approximately $2.4 million raised on the Sunday before Election Day.
Rather than weakening his campaign, the controversy appeared to energize some progressive voters who viewed Stevens’ decision as an example of establishment Democrats attempting to prevent a candidate from challenging longstanding party positions.
The extraordinary circumstances surrounding the endorsement highlighted the extent to which Israel had become a divisive issue in the race.
For some Jewish voters, El-Sayed’s positions raised serious questions about his willingness to confront antisemitism and defend Israel’s security.
Other Jewish Democrats supported his candidacy, arguing that disagreements over Israeli government policy should not automatically determine their vote.
The divide was reflected in interviews conducted at Michigan polling locations.
The campaign was also shaped by Michigan’s large Arab American and Muslim communities, whose political influence has become increasingly significant in statewide elections.
El-Sayed, a former Wayne County health director and Rhodes scholar, sought to build a coalition combining progressive Democrats, younger voters, working-class residents, and disaffected Republicans.
His campaign emphasized Medicare for All, higher taxes on billionaires, restrictions on corporate political influence, and opposition to overseas military conflicts.
He argued that Michigan residents were struggling with rising costs while Washington devoted excessive attention and resources to foreign wars.
Rogers countered with a platform centered on tax relief, manufacturing jobs, economic development, and national security.
He highlighted his background in federal law enforcement and intelligence, arguing that his experience would be particularly valuable at a time of international instability.
Rogers also aligned himself closely with Trump, whose support helped consolidate Republican backing for his candidacy.
However, the president’s popularity became a complicated factor in the campaign as concerns about the economy, high gasoline prices, tariffs, and the war with Iran weighed on Republican candidates.
Michigan’s close economic relationship with Canada made trade policy particularly important, with businesses and workers expressing concern about tariffs and their effects on manufacturing.
Rogers sought to balance his support for Trump with appeals to voters frustrated by the economic consequences of the administration’s policies.
El-Sayed attempted to turn those concerns into a broader argument against Republican leadership, portraying Rogers as too closely associated with the president to represent Michigan independently.
The race also drew an extraordinary lineup of national political figures.
Trump and Vice President JD Vance campaigned on behalf of Republicans, while former President Barack Obama and leading progressive figures, including Senator Bernie Sanders and Congresswoman Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, sought to rally Democratic voters.
The election became one of the most expensive contests in Michigan history.
According to Bridge Michigan, disclosed spending had exceeded $270 million by October, surpassing the approximately $217 million spent in the state’s 2024 Senate race.
Outside organizations aligned with both parties poured money into television advertising, digital campaigns, and voter mobilization efforts.
Republican-aligned groups invested heavily in efforts to defeat El-Sayed, while progressive organizations and Democratic donors contributed substantial resources to his campaign.
The enormous spending reflected the national stakes of the election, with both parties viewing Michigan as crucial to their hopes of controlling the Senate.
The contest was especially challenging for Republicans because Michigan voters have not elected a Republican U.S. senator since 1994.
Nevertheless, Trump’s success in the state during the 2024 presidential election, combined with Rogers’ narrow loss that year, had given Republicans reason to believe they could finally break that streak.
As Election Day approached, polls generally showed an extremely close race, although some late surveys suggested that El-Sayed was gaining an advantage.
The nonpartisan Cook Political Report shifted its assessment of the contest from a toss-up to leaning Democratic shortly before the election.
On Tuesday night, early returns showed El-Sayed opening a lead over Rogers, although the margin narrowed as additional votes were counted.
By approximately 11:45 p.m., with 42 percent of the vote counted, El-Sayed was leading with roughly 50.5 percent to Rogers’ 47.6 percent.
Shortly after midnight, the margin had narrowed to approximately 49.8 percent for El-Sayed and 48.3 percent for Rogers.
The tightening figures highlighted the importance of awaiting additional returns before declaring a winner.
For Republicans, a Rogers defeat would mean the loss of an opportunity to capture a Democratic-held seat in a state Trump won two years earlier.
For Democrats, an El-Sayed victory would preserve a crucial Senate seat while demonstrating that a candidate running on an unapologetically progressive platform could win a statewide general election in a major battleground.
It would also strengthen the position of the party’s progressive wing, which has increasingly challenged more traditional Democratic approaches to health care, economic policy, and American support for Israel.
For the Jewish community, the implications would be particularly significant.
El-Sayed’s election would bring to the Senate a politician who has openly advocated ending American military assistance to Israel, at a time when the relationship between Washington and Yerushalayim remains a major focus of congressional debate.
His candidacy has already exposed serious divisions within the Democratic Party over Israel, divisions that are unlikely to disappear after the election.
Stevens’ decision to endorse Rogers demonstrated just how deep those disagreements have become, particularly among Democratic officials who regard American support for Israel as an essential national security priority.
{Matzav.com}