Iran’s much-anticipated retaliation against Israel for the killings of key terror leaders might be postponed if Israel and Hamas can reach a long-sought ceasefire agreement in Gaza during upcoming talks, U.S. President Joe Biden stated on Tuesday.
Biden’s remarks followed reports from Iranian officials who told Reuters that a planned retaliatory strike could be put on hold to allow negotiations to proceed, even as Hamas signaled it would not participate in the discussions. A member of the Israeli delegation also expressed skepticism about the talks’ success unless Prime Minister Bibi Netanyahu broadens the team’s scope.
Ceasefire and hostage release negotiations are set to resume in either Egypt or Qatar on Thursday, with U.S. mediators highlighting the summit as a potential last chance to free hostages taken by Hamas on October 7, end the 10-month conflict in Gaza, and prevent a regional war involving Iran.
During a visit to New Orleans on Tuesday, Biden was asked if he expected Iran to delay a retaliatory strike if a deal was reached.
“That’s my expectation,” the president responded.
However, Biden also cautioned that securing a ceasefire agreement was becoming increasingly difficult while reiterating his determination to end the conflict.
“We’ll see what Iran does and we’ll see what happens if there is any attack. But I’m not giving up,” Biden said.
The U.S. State Department announced on Tuesday that efforts were underway to ensure Hamas representatives would attend the upcoming negotiations.
State Department spokesperson Vedant Patel confirmed that Doha had assured Washington it would “work to Hamas represented” at the talks.
On Monday, Hamas issued a statement declaring it would not attend the meeting unless mediators could persuade Israel to accept the updated proposal the group submitted in early July in response to the U.S.-supported plan.
The proposal involved Hamas retracting its core demand for Israel to commit upfront to a permanent ceasefire. Israel’s response included Netanyahu’s revised demands, which Hamas subsequently rejected.
While the location for Thursday’s summit remains unconfirmed, an Arab official told the Times of Israel that Doha is currently expected to host the meeting.
Despite uncertainty about Hamas’s participation, Patel stated that the U.S. “fully expects these talks to move forward.”
As efforts to finalize the long-awaited deal continued, White House press secretary Karine Jean-Pierre informed reporters aboard Air Force One that Brett McGurk, the White House Middle East coordinator, would be traveling to Cairo and Doha in the coming days, while special envoy Amos Hochstein would visit Lebanon to prevent further regional escalation.
After Iranian officials hinted earlier on Tuesday that a successful hostage deal might prevent them from directly retaliating against Israel, Jean-Pierre emphasized that the U.S. believes “getting a ceasefire deal is the best way to de-escalate the tensions we’re seeing.”
The U.S. has been heavily involved in diplomatic efforts to dissuade Iran from launching an attack on Israel following the July 31 assassination of Hamas leader Ismail Haniyeh, which Iran blames on Israel. Jerusalem has neither confirmed nor denied any involvement in his death.
Hezbollah, the powerful Iranian-backed terror group in Lebanon, has also vowed revenge for the assassination of its top military commander Fuad Shukr near Beirut on the same day, in a strike claimed by the IDF.
With the risk of a broader Middle East war increasing, Iran has engaged in intense discussions with Western countries and the U.S. in recent days on how to calibrate its retaliation, according to three Iranian sources who spoke to Reuters under the condition of anonymity due to the sensitive nature of the issue.
Recent reports suggest that Israel believes Iran plans to attack before Thursday’s renewed talks for a deal. The new statements seem to indicate that any attack would occur only after the talks and only if they fail to produce results satisfactory to Iran.
However, a senior Iranian security official stated that Iran and its allies, including Hezbollah, would launch a direct attack if the talks between Israel and Hamas collapse or if Israel is perceived as stalling the negotiations. The sources did not specify how long Iran would wait for the talks to progress before taking action.
Prime Minister Bibi Netanyahu’s office quickly announced last week that Israel would send negotiators to the August 15 talks “to finalize the details of the implementation of the agreement framework” after the U.S., Qatar, and Egypt issued a joint statement demanding that a deal be finalized and implemented without further delay.
A member of the negotiation team told Israel’s Channel 12 on Tuesday evening that there was no point in attending the talks unless Netanyahu expanded the team’s mandate.
The scope within which the Israeli team will be expected to negotiate has not yet been determined and will be established in a meeting with the prime minister later this week, according to the report.
Earlier this month, the Israeli delegation warned Netanyahu that it would be impossible to reach a deal with the new demands he issued in late July.
The widely reported demands—which Netanyahu insists are not new additions—include a requirement that IDF forces remain in control of the Philadelphi Corridor between Israel and Egypt and added restrictions on those displaced persons allowed to return to northern Gaza once the fighting ceases.
Netanyahu’s office has repeatedly denied these reports, asserting that the prime minister had not altered any part of the U.S.-endorsed May 27 proposal that has been stalled in negotiations for several months. Instead, his office claimed, he was merely providing “essential clarifications” to implement the original framework.
Defense Minister Yoav Gallant said on Tuesday evening that Israel was closely monitoring its enemies in anticipation of a potential attack.
“I am aware of the tensions and the great burden placed on the citizens of Israel. We are following what is happening, in Beirut, in Tehran, and in other places,” Gallant said during a visit to an IDF intelligence base in northern Israel.
“We are engaged both in removing the threats and preparing all possibilities, in order to be able to attack wherever we decide,” he added, according to remarks provided by his office.
Later, the Mehr news agency reported that Iran was conducting a military drill in the north of the country, though it did not clarify whether this was related to its plans to strike Israel.
Some speculated that an attack could occur on Monday night or Tuesday, when Jewish communities in Israel and worldwide observed the Ninth of Av, a day of mourning and tragedy in the Jewish calendar.
While the day did not witness any major attacks, Hamas terrorists attempted to launch two rockets at Tel Aviv for the first time in months, and on Tuesday night, approximately 40 rockets were fired from Lebanon at northern Israel. No injuries were reported.
{Matzav.com}