Survey: Nearly a Third of Israelis Doubt 2026 Elections Will Be Fair
As Israel heads toward national elections scheduled for later this year, a new public opinion survey points to significant erosion in confidence in the integrity of the electoral process and in the willingness of the public and political parties to accept the results.
Findings from the Israeli Society Index published by the Jewish People Policy Institute (JPPI) show that while a majority of Israelis still express trust in the elections, a large and meaningful minority harbor doubts about both their fairness and their aftermath. The skepticism cuts across political camps and population groups.
According to the survey, about two-thirds of Israelis (65%) believe the upcoming elections will be free and fair. At the same time, 31% say they are not convinced the elections will meet those standards.
Distrust is particularly pronounced among Arab citizens of Israel. Among Arab respondents, roughly 51% said they are not convinced the elections will be fair and free, compared to 43% who expressed confidence in the process. Among Jewish respondents, 70% said they trust the fairness of the elections, while 27% said they do not.
Political affiliation plays a decisive role in attitudes toward election fairness. A clear majority of respondents identifying with the right (85%) and the center-right (78%) said they believe the elections will be conducted fairly. By contrast, an exceptionally high share of those identifying with the left — 78% — said they are not convinced the elections will be fair.
JPPI noted that this finding reflects an unusually deep level of suspicion and highlights a profound divide between political camps over the perceived legitimacy of the democratic process itself.
Beyond concerns about fairness, the survey uncovered even greater anxiety regarding the period after Election Day. While 57% of respondents said they believe the public and political parties will accept the election results, 38% — nearly four in ten Israelis — said they are not convinced this will happen. Within that group, 11% said they are “not convinced at all” that the results will be accepted.
Overall, the data indicate that nearly four in ten Israelis doubt that the election results will be broadly accepted by both the public and the political system.
Here too, differences emerged between Jewish and Arab respondents. Among Arab citizens, 45% believe there is a real risk that the election results will not be accepted. Among Jewish respondents, 59% said they believe the results will be accepted, while more than a third — 36% — expressed uncertainty.
Interestingly, unlike the sharp ideological polarization seen on the question of election fairness, skepticism about acceptance of the results appears to be widespread across the political spectrum. Comparable levels of concern were recorded among respondents identifying with the right, center, and left.
Commenting on the findings, Yedidia Stern, president of JPPI, warned that the data should be viewed as a serious warning sign.
“The findings are a warning signal for all of us,” Stern said. “Without agreed-upon and stable rules of the game, Israeli democracy will continue to erode. For some time now, there has been a significant decline in public trust in state institutions, but this survey shows that distrust is now spreading to the most basic democratic process — elections.”
He added that democracy cannot function properly if a substantial portion of the public suspects the fairness of elections or hesitates to accept their outcomes. “The survey points to the possibility of a storm that could threaten all of us after the elections, regardless of the results,” Stern said.
Stern also argued that advancing what he described as a broadly agreed-upon “lean constitution” could help ease extreme suspicion between political camps, strengthen trust in state institutions, and stabilize Israel’s political system. Such a framework, he said, is essential for safeguarding the country’s democratic resilience.
{Matzav.com}
