ELECTION DEALS AND POLITICAL FEUDS: Ben-Gvir Left Without Partner as Israeli Parties Race to Secure Vote-Sharing Agreements
With just 11 days remaining before Israel’s October 27 Knesset elections, political parties are scrambling to finalize agreements that could determine the allocation of crucial parliamentary seats, as National Security Minister Itamar Ben-Gvir finds himself without a vote-sharing partner and a bitter public dispute erupts between Yoaz Hendel and Ofer Winter.
Friday marks the deadline for parties to submit surplus-vote agreements to the Central Elections Committee ahead of the election for the 26th Knesset. Five agreements have already been signed, including the traditional arrangement between Shas and United Torah Judaism, while several prominent parties remain without partners.
Voting has already begun at Israeli diplomatic missions overseas, adding urgency to the final stages of the campaign as parties seek to maximize their representation in the next Knesset.
Surplus-vote agreements allow two parties to combine their remaining votes during the allocation of Knesset seats, potentially enabling one of them to secure an additional mandate that might otherwise go to another party. The arrangement takes effect only if both participating parties receive enough votes to cross the electoral threshold.
The Likud and Religious Zionism parties finalized their agreement approximately ten days ago, leaving Ben-Gvir’s Otzma Yehudit party with a difficult choice: negotiate with former senior IDF officer Ofer Winter’s Amcha Yisrael party or enter the election without a surplus-vote agreement.
Other parties have already secured their partnerships. The Beyachad party signed an agreement with Yisrael Beiteinu, while the Yashar! party reached an arrangement with the Democrats.
Shas and United Torah Judaism renewed their longstanding electoral cooperation, continuing a practice that has characterized numerous previous Knesset elections.
Among the Arab parties, Ra’am and the Joint List also reached an agreement to combine their surplus votes.
Blue and White chairman Benny Gantz has likewise chosen to remain without a partner, explaining that his party is unwilling to enter into an arrangement with a political faction aligned with either of Israel’s competing blocs.
Party officials said they believe Yoaz Hendel would ultimately support a coalition opposed to Prime Minister Binyamin Netanyahu, while economist Yaron Zelekha could align himself with Netanyahu in the hope of being appointed finance minister.
According to Blue and White, those considerations make a surplus-vote agreement with either side politically unacceptable.
Ben-Gvir, meanwhile, has been unable to reach an arrangement following the agreement between Likud and Religious Zionism.
Otzma Yehudit officials said the party had been left with no viable alternative to running without a surplus-vote partner, despite the potential electoral consequences.
The decision prompted sharp criticism from attorney Avraham Yustman, an Agudas Yisroel representative on the Central Elections Committee, who argued that Ben-Gvir was taking an unnecessary political risk.
Yustman wrote that Ben-Gvir’s refusal to sign an agreement with Winter, even if Winter’s prospects of crossing the electoral threshold were limited, could prove to be an exceptionally costly mistake.
“The arrogant decision by Ben-Gvir not to sign with Winter (despite the slim chance) could turn out to be colossal stupidity,” Yustman wrote.
He also questioned whether an alternative arrangement between Winter and Hendel would serve any practical purpose, arguing that neither party appeared likely to cross the electoral threshold alongside the other.
“An agreement between Winter and Hendel appears pointless — there is no chance that both will cross the electoral threshold,” Yustman wrote.
Under Israeli election rules, a surplus-vote agreement provides no advantage if either participating party fails to qualify for Knesset representation, making the electoral viability of potential partners a central consideration in the negotiations.
The most heated dispute surrounding the agreements has developed between Hendel, who heads the Reservists and Economic Party alongside Zelekha, and Winter, chairman of Amcha Yisrael.
The two sides have offered sharply conflicting accounts of negotiations over a possible surplus-vote arrangement, with each accusing the other of misrepresenting what occurred.
Hendel said he had publicly invited Winter to enter an agreement the previous week and that representatives of Winter’s party subsequently approached his faction on Thursday.
According to Hendel, the talks collapsed because Winter refused to commit to joining only a coalition that excluded both chareidi and Arab parties.
“After we called on Winter to sign a surplus-vote agreement last week, yesterday we received an approach on his behalf. Winter refused to commit to joining only a Zionist government (without chareidim and Arabs), so we decided not to sign a surplus-vote agreement with him,” Hendel said.
Winter’s party categorically rejected that account, insisting that it had never approached Hendel’s faction to request an agreement.
Amcha Yisrael accused Hendel of manufacturing a political controversy and pointed to his record of switching parties and participating in a coalition that included Ra’am chairman Mansour Abbas.
“Yoaz Hendel, who has moved between eight parties over the past decade and established a government with Mansour Abbas, and Yaron Zelekha, who is a Meretz supporter, will not lecture new people who have come to sweep away the old and disgraceful politics,” the party declared.
The confrontation follows an earlier public appeal by Hendel, who urged Winter to abandon his commitment to joining a Netanyahu-led government with the chareidi parties and instead support the formation of a coalition composed exclusively of parties he considers Zionist.
Hendel argued that such an arrangement would strengthen efforts to expand military recruitment and prevent the establishment of a government dependent on chareidi or Arab political factions.
Winter, however, has resisted those demands, maintaining his own political positions while facing pressure from competing parties over his potential role in the next Knesset.
Ben-Gvir has also intensified his criticism of Winter, accusing him of potentially following the political path of Naftali Bennett.
In a statement earlier this week, Ben-Gvir described Winter as “Bennett 2” and said Otzma Yehudit would therefore refuse to enter a surplus-vote agreement with his party.
Winter’s faction responded by criticizing Ben-Gvir’s decision and rejecting his characterization of its chairman.
The disagreement comes amid a broader political struggle over Winter’s supporters. Netanyahu’s Likud party has been campaigning against Amcha Yisrael, warning right-wing voters about the consequences of supporting a party that may fail to cross the electoral threshold.
Winter, in turn, has accused Netanyahu of undermining another right-wing party and warned that the prime minister would bear responsibility if those efforts ultimately damaged the right-wing bloc.
The issue has become particularly significant because Israel’s electoral system requires a party to receive at least 3.25% of the valid national vote to enter the Knesset.
Votes cast for parties that fail to reach that threshold do not contribute to their representation in parliament, and surplus-vote agreements cannot rescue a party that falls short.
With the deadline for filing agreements arriving at noon Friday, Otzma Yehudit, Amcha Yisrael, Blue and White and the Hendel-Zelekha faction were all facing the prospect of entering the October 27 election without a surplus-vote partner.
{Matzav.com}
