Dead Heat in the Garden State: NJ Governor’s Race Virtually Tied As Jack Ciattarelli Gains On Mikie Sherrill In Campaign’s Closing Stretch
The New Jersey governor’s race has turned into a statistical toss-up, with Republican Jack Ciattarelli and Democrat Mikie Sherrill virtually tied as Election Day nears.
A new Atlas Intel poll released today shows Sherrill ahead by the slimmest of margins—50.2% to 49.3%—placing Ciattarelli well within the margin of error and signaling a dramatic final stretch in one of the nation’s most closely watched races.
The latest numbers mark a sharp tightening from earlier in the campaign. An Emerson College poll earlier this week showed Sherrill at 50% to Ciattarelli’s 48%, while an InsiderAdvantage/Trafalgar Group poll conducted last month also found Sherrill ahead by just one point.
“It’s just the latest survey to show a nail-biter in the most-watched statewide election this year,” one political analyst noted, as both candidates scramble to energize their bases before the polls close.
For Ciattarelli, the numbers represent a dramatic rebound from his narrow 2021 loss to New Jersey Governor Phil Murphy, when he came up short 51% to 48%. This time, the Republican contender is seeing overwhelming enthusiasm among men and Trump loyalists, with the survey showing he has secured a remarkable 99 percent of voters who supported Donald Trump.
Despite that near-total consolidation of the GOP base, Ciattarelli still trails among women voters—a demographic that continues to lean toward Sherrill.
On the other side, Sherrill retains dominant support among Kamala Harris voters, leading that bloc 96% to 3%. Still, Ciattarelli’s small inroads there underscore the shifting dynamics of a race that now appears destined to come down to the wire.
{Matzav.com}