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New assessments from the U.S. intelligence community indicate that recent military action has not meaningfully delayed Iran’s progress toward developing a nuclear weapon, according to a report published Monday.
Citing three individuals familiar with the findings, the report states that Iran’s estimated “breakout time” remains between nine months and one year, unchanged from projections made after last summer’s coordinated U.S.-Israel strikes.
This conclusion comes even after the latest round of military operations, which were intended in part to eliminate the nuclear threat posed by Tehran. While Israel focused on striking key nuclear sites, the broader U.S.-led campaign largely targeted Iran’s conventional military assets and industrial capabilities, the report said.
Analysts attribute the lack of progress in extending the timeline to Iran’s continued possession of highly enriched uranium. Although “Operation Midnight Hammer” and “Operation Epic Fury” inflicted damage on major enrichment facilities, including Natanz and Fordow, the International Atomic Energy Agency has indicated that Iran still retains sufficient material for roughly ten nuclear weapons if further processed.
According to current intelligence, a significant portion of this enriched material is believed to be stored in heavily fortified underground locations, particularly at the Isfahan Nuclear Research Center. These deeply buried facilities are difficult to strike using standard weaponry, prompting some U.S. officials to weigh the possibility of high-risk ground missions to secure or destroy the material.
Within the Trump administration, officials continue to emphasize a strategy of complete prevention. White House spokeswoman Olivia Wales underscored the President’s position, stating, “While Operation Midnight Hammer obliterated Iran’s nuclear facilities, Operation Epic Fury built on this success by decimating Iran’s defense industrial base that they once leveraged as a protective shield around their pursuit of a nuclear weapon. President Trump has long been clear that Iran can never have a nuclear weapon – and he does not bluff.”
Vice President JD Vance reinforced that message, stressing that the central aim of the effort remains ensuring that “Iran can never be allowed to obtain a nuclear weapon.”
{Matzav.com}
Iran’s Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi said Monday that the latest confrontations in the Strait of Hormuz demonstrate that the conflict cannot be resolved through military means.
In a message posted on social media, Araghchi cautioned both the United States and the United Arab Emirates against becoming entangled in what he described as a dangerous situation fueled by outside forces.
“Events in Hormuz make clear that there’s no military solution to a political crisis,” wrote the Iranian Foreign Minister.
He pointed to ongoing diplomatic efforts, particularly involving Pakistan, while urging Washington and Abu Dhabi to avoid deeper involvement.
“As talks are making progress with Pakistan’s gracious effort, the U.S. should be wary of being dragged back into quagmire by ill-wishers. So should the UAE,” he added.
Araghchi also criticized the newly launched U.S. maritime initiative aimed at assisting ships in the region, dismissing it as counterproductive.
“Project Freedom is Project Deadlock,” concluded Araghchi, referring to the newly launched US operation to free ships trapped in the Strait of Hormuz.
His remarks followed a series of Iranian strikes earlier in the day, which included 12 ballistic missiles, three cruise missiles, and four drones targeting the United Arab Emirates, leaving three people injured.
At the same time, President Donald Trump said U.S. forces had destroyed seven small Iranian boats near the Strait of Hormuz.
Amid the rising tensions, Trump also accused Iran of targeting “unrelated nations” in its attacks on shipping in the Strait of Hormuz.
In separate comments to Fox News, the president warned that any Iranian strike on U.S. naval vessels escorting commercial ships would trigger a severe response, stating Iran would be “blown off the face of the earth” if it attacks the US naval vessels escorting merchant vessels through the Strait of Hormuz.
{Matzav.com}
A respected talmid chacham known for his humility and lifelong dedication to Torah, Rav Yitzchok Menachem Cohen zt”l passed away Monday at the age of 82.
The niftar collapsed on the eve of the recent Yom Tov and was taken to Sheba Medical Center, where he remained hospitalized until his petirah Monday afternoon.
The levayah will be held tonight at his home on Meromi Sadeh Street 11 in Modiin Illit, proceeding to Segulah Cemetery in Petach Tikvah for kevurah.
Rav Cohen zt”l was born in Yerushalayim on the 7th of Teves 5704 to his father, Rav Aviezri Eliezer Cohen zt”l, of the Bayit Vegan neighborhood. As a child, he davened at Yeshivas Kol Torah, where he was exposed to many gedolei Yisroel there.
He later continued his learning at Yeshivas Kol Torah for his yeshiva ketanah years, before advancing to Ponevezh Yeshiva, where he became a close talmid of the mashgiach, Rav Yechezkel Levenstein zt”l, as well as of the Ponevezher Rov. He was a regular participant in the mashgiach’s shmuessen.
Upon reaching marriageable age, he married the daughter of Rav Avraham Schwartz zt”l, mashgiach of Yeshivas Or Yisrael in Petach Tikvah, who had passed away prior to the chasunah. Following his marriage, he initially lived in Petach Tikvah and developed a close connection with the rosh yeshiva of Or Yisrael, Rav Yaakov Neiman zt”l.
He later moved to Bnei Brak, where he joined Kollel Chazon Ish, immersing himself in Torah learning for decades. There, he developed a close relationship with the rosh kollel, Rav Nissim Karelitz zt”l, and merited learning alongside the Sar HaTorah, Rav Chaim Kanievsky zt”l, as well as other leading gedolim of the generation. Throughout his life, he remained exceedingly modest, avoiding attention and never seeking recognition.
He maintained halachic discussions with many gedolei Yisroel, who held him in high regard. Approximately 20 years ago, he relocated to Modiin Illit to be near his children, where he continued his daily sedorim, learning both in the morning and afternoon and maintaining his chavrusashafts consistently, even during difficult periods. He completed Shas multiple times, always quietly and without fanfare.
Seven years ago, his wife, Mrs. Devorah Cohen a”h, passed away suddenly. He accepted the loss with deep emunah and continued his regular learning schedule, often learning with his children over the phone. He took great joy in hearing their chiddushim and would share his own insights with them as well.
He was niftar Monday afternoon in the hospital, surrounded by family.
Tehei nishmaso tzerurah b’tzror hachaim.
{Matzav.com}