Media Battle Over Polls: Channel 12 Shows Right-Wing Collapse, Channel 14 Shows Coalition Surge
Two political surveys released Thursday evening painted completely different pictures of Israel’s political landscape, sparking debate over which channel’s polling can be trusted.
According to a poll conducted by Mano Geva for Channel 12 News, if elections were held today, Prime Minister Bibi Netanyahu’s coalition would win just 51 Knesset seats—an outcome that would leave the right-wing bloc far from a governing majority. Channel 14’s right-leaning survey, however, told a very different story, giving the same coalition a commanding 66 seats.
The Channel 12 poll showed Likud with 26 mandates, Bennett’s party at 21, Yair Golan with 11, Yair Lapid’s Yesh Atid at 10, Shas and Avigdor Liberman’s Yisrael Beytenu each at 9, Itamar Ben Gvir’s Otzma Yehudit also at 9, Gadi Eisenkot’s Yashar at 8, Yitzchok Goldknopf’s United Torah Judaism at 7, Hadash-Ta’al with 5, and Ra’am also with 5.
When grouped into blocs, the opposition received 59 seats, the Arab parties 10, and the coalition only 51—signaling, according to Channel 12’s framing, a serious decline for the right.
Channel 14’s poll, on the other hand, produced dramatically different numbers. It placed Likud far ahead with 35 seats, followed by Bennett’s party at 12, Shas at 11, the Democrats at 10, Yisrael Beytenu at 9, United Torah Judaism at 8, Otzma Yehudit at 7, Eisenkot’s Yashar party at 7, Yesh Atid at 6, Religious Zionism at 5, Ra’am at 5, and Hadash-Ta’al at 5. Both Blue and White (2.4%) and Balad (1.7%) failed to cross the electoral threshold.
In total, Channel 14’s results showed the right-wing bloc with 66 seats, the left-wing bloc with 44, and the Arab parties holding 10.
When asked who is most suited to serve as prime minister, the Channel 14 poll found 56% backing Netanyahu, compared to 22% for Naftali Bennett, 12% for Gadi Eisenkot, 5% for Yair Lapid, 4% for Avigdor Liberman, and just 1% for Benny Gantz.
The stark contrast between the two polls quickly reignited Israel’s ongoing debate over media bias—whether Channel 12 is amplifying perceptions of right-wing weakness or Channel 14 is overstating its strength. As one political commentator quipped online: “It depends which channel you trust—and which reality you choose to believe.”
{Matzav.com}
