NYT: Another Israel-Iran War Increasingly Seen as Just a Matter of Time
Iran and Israel appear to be heading toward another confrontation, with Middle East intelligence sources telling The New York Times that the brief but intense 12-day war earlier this year failed to eliminate the Islamic Republic’s nuclear capabilities. Instead, they say Tehran has been rapidly rebuilding its military strength and is preparing for a much larger conflict.
“Iran’s stockpile of highly enriched uranium, enough to make 11 nuclear weapons, is either buried under rubble, as Iran claims, or has been spirited away to a safe place, as Israeli officials believe,” the report said.
Officials cited by the Times warned that both nations are actively planning for renewed hostilities, despite the heavy losses suffered in June. American and Israeli intelligence now suspect the bombing campaign may have caused far less harm to Iran’s underground facilities than initially believed.
Another flashpoint comes from the diplomatic deadlock between Washington and Tehran. Multiple attempts to revive dialogue collapsed earlier this year, and the expiration of the 2015 nuclear deal has now reimposed crippling sanctions on Iran. Combined with Tehran’s refusal to allow inspectors into its latest uranium enrichment site, many in the region fear that another Israeli strike is “almost inevitable,” according to the report.
Ali Vaez, Iran project director at the International Crisis Group, said Tehran is racing to expand its military capacity. “Fire 2,000 at once to overwhelm Israeli defenses, not 500 over 12 days,” he told the Times, describing Iran’s plan to dramatically increase its missile launch capability.
“Israel feels the job is unfinished and sees no reason not to resume the conflict, so Iran is doubling down preparedness for the next round,” Vaez added, while noting that no immediate action appears to be planned.
Efforts to rekindle nuclear talks have made little headway, and Iran’s Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei recently dismissed any prospect of meaningful cooperation with Washington. “The Americans sometimes say they would like to cooperate with Iran. Cooperation with Iran is not possible as long as the US continues to support the accursed Zionist regime, maintains military bases, and interferes in the region,” Khamenei said, according to Iranian state media.
“The arrogant nature of the United States accepts nothing other than submission.”
Vaez noted that Iran’s leadership remains deeply split on how to move forward. Some senior figures still favor pursuing a new nuclear deal to ease the country’s crushing economic hardships and widespread water shortages. But others argue that diplomacy is pointless after Trump withdrew from the 2015 agreement during his first term.
Despite these internal disagreements, Vaez told the Times that there is one consensus among Tehran’s decision-makers: another confrontation with Israel is unavoidable.
Israel, for its part, insists that its June offensive targeting Iranian nuclear scientists, missile engineers, and senior military figures was a necessary preemptive strike to stop what it calls Tehran’s ongoing drive toward nuclear weaponization.
While Iran continues to deny that it seeks nuclear arms, its enrichment levels, obstruction of international oversight, and acceleration of ballistic missile programs have only fueled suspicions. Israeli intelligence officials say those steps left them with no choice but to act — and warn that the next phase of the conflict may only be a matter of time.
{Matzav.com}
